May 19, 2020

Market Watch: Petroleum

Oil
Energy
Finance
petroleum
Tejas Amale
2 min
Market Watch: Petroleum

Over the last year, perspectives on Canada's petroleum markets have shifted from uncontrolled exuberance to decidedly cautious but positive.

There are two big pieces of good news for Canadian petroleum: Production is rising and will continue to rise – perhaps rapidly – for the foreseeable future.

1. The Bakken Formation now appears to hold much larger reserves than previously anticipated, and advances in fracking technology make a larger portion of those recoverable than had been imaginable five years ago.

2. Continued development of tar sands deposits promises radical market expansion as well. Overall, Canadian oil production is expected to more than double by 2030.

At first, all that extra production looked like a black gold rush. Investors sobered up, however, as they watched global oil prices tank over the last year. In late 2014, the price of oil plunged below $50 per barrel for the first time since 2004. All that extra production from Canada, the United States and Russia functionally flooded the market just as demand growth started cooling off in China.

The current prices are artificially low, according to most experts. Many analysts expect oil to climb back over $70 a barrel by the end of 2015. Provided the price stabilizes, Canadian producers will be able to count on a healthy profit. If prices were to plummet again, however, some of the smaller producers could face serious cash flow problems. Future production growth would also decline if prices stay low.

Another factor counseling caution in the Canadian petroleum market are environmental objections. The tar sands projects remain controversial because the process of extracting and refining tar sand oil is much more polluting than conventional drilling. The industry has largely overcome domestic protests to tar sand extraction, but the environmental lobby successfully persuaded President Obama to veto construction of the Keystone XL pipeline. The pipeline isn't essential for Canadian petroleum's growth, but it's a worry sign. If the environmental movement gains more steam, it might pose a real challenge to profits.

Finally, Canadian oil will also have to compete with growing production from the United States. Most of the Bakken Formation is in North Dakota and available to U.S. petroleum countries. The U.S. has also expanded offshore drilling and, if the next president is a Republican, will likely increase drilling in Alaska, too. Since Middle Eastern production looks to be on the rise as well, it's possible demand will fall well short of supply and drive prices down further.

Overall, however, a few ugly splotches on the canvas shouldn't overwhelm the oil industry's rosy picture. Canada's natural oil wealth is larger than ever, and extraction efforts already in progress all but assure profitability.

 

Share article

Jun 8, 2021

Six issues at the top of tax and finance leaders’ agenda

Tax
Compliance
financeleaders
Deloitte
Kate Birch
4 min
As businesses accelerate their transformation journeys, tax leaders are under increasing pressure to add strategic value. Deloitte reveals six tax trends

New Deloitte research reveals that tax leaders are under increasing pressure to add strategic value as companies accelerate business model transformation, from undergoing digital transformations to rethinking their supply chains or investing in green initiatives.

According to Phil Mills, Deloitte Global Tax & Legal Leader, to “truly deliver value to the business, the tax function needs to rethink its resourcing model and transform its technology infrastructure to create capacity and control costs”.

And the good news, according to Mills, is that tax and business leaders have more options at their disposal to achieve this.

Reflecting the insights of global tax and finance executives at global companies, Deloitte’s Tax Operations in Focus study reveals the six issues at the top of tax and finance leaders’ agenda.

Trend 1: Businesses seek more strategic counsel from tax

Companies are being pushed to develop new digital products and distribution channels and accelerate sustainable transformation and this is taking them into uncharted tax territory. Tax leaders say their teams must have the resources and skills to give deeper advisory support on digital business models (65%), supply chain restructuring (49%) and sustainability (48%) over the next two years. This means redrawing the boundaries of what tax professionals focus on, and accelerating adoption of advanced technologies and lower-cost resourcing models to meet compliance requirements and free up time.

According to Joanne Walker, Group Tax Director, BT Group PLC, "There’s still a heavy compliance load today, but the vision for the future would be that much of that falls away, and tax people become subject matter experts who help program the machine, ensure quality control, and redirect their time to advisory activity.”

Trend 2: Tipping point for resourcing models

Business partnering demands in the tax department are on the rise, but 93% of tax leaders say their department’s budget is remaining flat or falling. To ensure that the tax function can redefine itself as a strategic function at the pace that is required, leaders are choosing to move increasing amounts of compliance and reporting to a combination of shared service centers, finance departments, and outsourcing providers that have invested in best-in-class technology.

Trend 3: Digital tax administration is moving faster than expected

in addition to the rising focus of the corporate tax department partnering with their business counterparts, transformative changes to the way companies share tax information with revenue authorities is also creating an imperative to modernize operations at a faster pace. Nine in 10 (92%) respondents say that shifting revenue authority demands on digital tax administration will have a moderate or high impact on tax operations and resources over the next five years—and several heads of tax said the trend is moving faster than expected.

"It’s really stepped up in the last couple of years," says Anna Elphick, VP Tax, Unilever. "Tax authorities don't just want a faster turnaround for compliance but access into a company’s systems. It's not unreasonable to think that in a much shorter time than we expect, compliance will be about companies reviewing a return that's been drafted by the tax authorities."

Trend 4: Data simplification and lower-cost resourcing are top priorities

Tax leaders said that simplifying data management (53%) and moving to lower-cost resourcing models (51%) must be prioritized if tax is to become more proactive at delivering strategic insights to the business. Many tax teams are ensuring that they have a seat at the table as ERP systems are overhauled, which is paying dividends: 56% of those that have introduced NextGen ERP systems are now highly effective at supporting the business with scenario-modeling insights. Only 35% of those with moderate to low use of NextGen ERP systems said the same.

At Stryker, “we automated the source P&L process for transfer pricing which took a huge burden off of the divisions," says David Furgason, Vice President Tax. "Then we created a transfer price database to deposit and retrieve data so we have limited impact on the divisions. We are moving to a single ERP platform which will help us make take the next step with robotics.”

Trend 5: Skillsets are shifting

Embedding a new data infrastructure and redesigning processes are critical for the future tax vision. Tax leaders are aligned — data skills (45%) and technology process experience (43%) are ‘must have’ skills in a tax department of the future, but more traditional tax specialist knowledge also remains key (40%). The trick to success will be in tax leaders facilitating the way these professionals, with their different backgrounds, can work together collectively to unlock lasting value.

Take Infineon Technologies, which formed a VAT technology and governance group "that has the right knowledge about how to change the system to ensure it generates the right reports", according to Matthias Schubert, Global Head of Tax. "Involving them early was key as we took a greenfield approach, so we could think about what the optimal processes would look like and how more intelligent systems could make an impact 

Trend 6: 2020 brought productivity improvements

Improved productivity (50%) and accelerating shifts to remote working (48%) were cited as the biggest operational benefits to emerge from COVID-19-driven disruption. But, as 78% of leaders now plan to embed either hybrid or fully remote models in the tax function long term, 34% say maintaining productivity benefits is a top concern. And, as leaders think about building their talent pipeline and strengthening advisory skill sets, 47% say they must prioritize new approaches to talent recognition and career development over the next two years, while 36% say new processes for involving tax in business strategy decisions must be established.

Share article